Talk:Weather forecasting
From Academic Kids
Sorry, but I removed the section headings because they gave the impression that the text of the whole of the remainder of the article came under the second section heading, whereas it actually refers only to a little text which follows it.
I can see what you're trying to achieve, and the bulleted list is my attempt at another way of doing this.
--Trainspotter 08:36, 30 Jul 2003 (UTC)
- Yeah, that's better. I was just trying to structure it a little better. Nice job! :) Dysprosia 08:43, 30 Jul 2003 (UTC)
| Contents |
Statistics/history
Hello :) Is there any page containing areal statistics of temperature and weather from past years and months?
I'd like to compare the usual weathers around the world --Gxojo 17:43, 5 Mar 2005 (UTC)
Expansion
Hello. Good stuff. I think a subject as important as this merits further expansion of this article. For example, sections could be added under the following headings:
Nowcasting and very short range forecasting (0-6hrs)
The dominance of human interpretation of observational data, or extrapolation of observations into the future. How NWP has relatively low skill in this time range due to lack of resolution in model and data assimilation system. Future improvements possible due to mesoscale data assimilation. The idea that at short range you can expect to predict smaller scale features with skill whereas at long range you don't expect to be able to do so.
Short range forecasts (up to 3 days)
The increasing dominance of NWP in forecasts. The concept that at increasing range you can only expect to predict larger scale features with skill and must give statistical forecasts of smaller features (e.g. forecasting "scattered showers" rather than giving forecasts of individual shower clouds).
Medium range forecating (3 to 10 days)
The benefit of using ensemble forecasts in this timeframe.
Long range forecasting (beyond 10 days)
Seasonal forecasting
Forecasting system
Also, a more rigorous description of the forecasting system might be useful.
- Observations + Data assimilation -> Analysis
- Forecast made from analysis using principle of determinism whereby the future state of the system can be predicted by knowledge of the current state of said system.
-- geodynamo 08:59, 16 Jun 2005 (UTC)
